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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

11:05 → 11:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:05 → 11:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1105

Settled

Nov 15, 11:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9638
Index at 11:05:00

Final index

$0.9619

Settlement price

$0.9619
Index at 11:10:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96190.96270.96360.964411:0511:0611:0711:0811:10PTB 0.9638

Settlement $0.9619

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN67.1%High
UP 32.9%67.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.6%
172 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 11:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium53.5%172 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN63.4%
UP 36.6%63.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%172 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%172 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.2%
UP 39.8%60.2% DOWN
Medium52.9%172 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Low44.8%172 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium52.3%172 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.5%172 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low44.2%172 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low48.3%172 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:05:00 UTC

11:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.1 bps0.9639ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9638ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9636ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9638

Settlement · 11:10:00 UTC

11:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9617ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.9621ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9619ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9619

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.96280.9649UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.96290.9628DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.96340.9629DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.96270.9634UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.96240.9627UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.96200.9624UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.96290.9620DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.96450.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.96790.9645DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.96750.9679UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 150.96460.9675UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.5%172 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.3%172 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent53.5%172 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.3%172 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent52.9%172 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent50.0%172 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology