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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

11:40 → 11:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:40 → 11:45 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1140

Settled

Nov 15, 11:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9673
Index at 11:40:00

Final index

$0.9673

Settlement price

$0.9673
Index at 11:45:00

Outcome

FLAT
Immutable record
0.96700.96740.96780.968211:4011:4111:4211:4311:45PTB 0.9673

Settlement $0.9673

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH
DOWN52.4%Low
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.5%
186 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 11:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium53.2%186 marketsPUSH
Momentum AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium50.0%186 marketsPUSH
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Medium49.5%186 marketsPUSH
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium52.7%186 marketsPUSH
Order Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low45.2%186 marketsPUSH
Volatility AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium52.2%186 marketsPUSH
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low52.7%186 marketsPUSH
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low44.6%186 marketsPUSH
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low48.4%186 marketsPUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:40:00 UTC

11:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9671ok
  • Coinbase+3.5 bps0.9676ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9673ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9673

Settlement · 11:45:00 UTC

11:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9670ok
  • Coinbase+1.4 bps0.9674ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9673ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9673

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.96550.9673UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.96440.9655UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.96350.9644UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.96360.9635DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.96170.9636UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.96190.9617DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.5%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.96380.9619DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.96280.9649UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.96290.9628DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.96340.9629DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.96270.9634UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.7%186 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent53.2%186 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent52.2%186 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.4%186 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent52.7%186 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent49.5%186 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology