Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

14:10 → 14:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:10 → 14:15 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1410

Settled

Nov 15, 14:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9640
Index at 14:10:00

Final index

$0.9662

Settlement price

$0.9662
Index at 14:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96370.96460.96550.966414:1014:1114:1214:1314:15PTB 0.9640

Settlement $0.9662

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN55.3%Medium
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.8%
239 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 14:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium50.2%239 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium48.5%239 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium46.9%239 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium50.6%239 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Low46.9%239 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium49.0%239 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.7%239 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low48.5%239 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low49.0%239 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:10:00 UTC

14:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps0.9639ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9640ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.9641ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9640

Settlement · 14:15:00 UTC

14:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9660ok
  • Coinbase+0.1 bps0.9662ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9662ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9662

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:05 → 14:10Nov 150.96560.9640DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
14:00 → 14:05Nov 150.96890.9656DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 150.97160.9689DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 150.97130.9716UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.7%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 150.97180.9713DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.97100.9718UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.97380.9710DOWN7 / 9 UPUP50.6%LOSS
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.97490.9738DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.97720.9749DOWN5 / 9 UPUP50.7%LOSS
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.97290.9772UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.7%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.97200.9729UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.9%LOSS
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.97220.9720DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.7%239 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent48.5%239 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.0%239 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.2%239 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent46.9%239 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.6%239 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology