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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

13:50 → 13:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:50 → 13:55 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1350

Settled

Nov 15, 13:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9713
Index at 13:50:00

Final index

$0.9716

Settlement price

$0.9716
Index at 13:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.97010.97100.97180.972713:5013:5113:5213:5313:55PTB 0.9713

Settlement $0.9716

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.7%Low
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.1%
232 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 13:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium50.4%232 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium47.8%232 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium47.0%232 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium50.4%232 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low47.0%232 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN57.0%
UP 43.0%57.0% DOWN
Medium49.1%232 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low52.6%232 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low47.4%232 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low48.3%232 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:50:00 UTC

13:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9712ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps0.9716ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9713ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9713

Settlement · 13:55:00 UTC

13:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9716ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.9718ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9716ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9716

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:45 → 13:50Nov 150.97180.9713DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.97100.9718UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.97380.9710DOWN7 / 9 UPUP50.6%LOSS
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.97490.9738DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.97720.9749DOWN5 / 9 UPUP50.7%LOSS
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.97290.9772UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.7%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.97200.9729UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.9%LOSS
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.97220.9720DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.96980.9722UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.96760.9698UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.96900.9676DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%WIN
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.96780.9690UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.6%232 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent48.3%232 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent47.4%232 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.4%232 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent47.0%232 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent49.1%232 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology