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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

13:05 → 13:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:05 → 13:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1305

Settled

Nov 15, 13:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9698
Index at 13:05:00

Final index

$0.9722

Settlement price

$0.9722
Index at 13:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96920.97020.97110.972113:0513:0613:0713:0813:10PTB 0.9698

Settlement $0.9722

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.8%Medium
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
218 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 13:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Medium52.3%218 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium49.5%218 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium48.2%218 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium51.8%218 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low48.6%218 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium51.4%218 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.2%218 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low46.8%218 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low49.1%218 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:05:00 UTC

13:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9698ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps0.9698ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9696ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9698

Settlement · 13:10:00 UTC

13:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9722ok
  • Coinbase+3.3 bps0.9725ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9721ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9722

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.96760.9698UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.96900.9676DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%WIN
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.96780.9690UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.1%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.96950.9678DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.96820.9695UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.97120.9682DOWN6 / 9 UPUP53.1%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.97030.9712UP7 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.96840.9703UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.96700.9684UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 150.96490.9670UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 150.96460.9649UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 150.96080.9646UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.2%218 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.3%218 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.1%218 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent51.4%218 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent48.6%218 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent46.8%218 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology