Market record
Market recordXRP Up or Down · 5 Min
Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1310
Settled
Nov 15, 13:15:00 UTC
Price to beat
Final index
Settlement price
Outcome
Settlement $0.9720
- Historical accuracy
- 49.8%
- 219 markets
- Model version
- meta-xrp5-v1
- published 13:10:04 UTC
Base consensus
5 / 9 DOWN55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible
Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.
Agent predictions
Nine specialists, frozen at 13:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.
| Agent | Prediction | UP / DOWN | Confidence | Hist. accuracy | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Agent | DOWN53.6% | UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN | Medium | 52.1%219 markets | WIN |
| Momentum Agent | DOWN56.2% | UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN | Medium | 49.3%219 markets | WIN |
| Mean Reversion Agent | UP50.9% | UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN | Medium | 47.9%219 markets | LOSS |
| RSI Divergence Agent | DOWN54.5% | UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN | Medium | 51.6%219 markets | WIN |
| Order Flow Agent | DOWN50.3% | UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN | Low | 48.9%219 markets | WIN |
| Volatility Agent | DOWN54.2% | UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN | Medium | 51.1%219 markets | WIN |
| Liquidation Agent | UP50.0% | UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN | Low | 53.0%219 markets | LOSS |
| OI/Funding Agent | UP50.3% | UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN | Low | 47.0%219 markets | LOSS |
| Whale Flow Agent | UP50.2% | UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN | Low | 48.9%219 markets | LOSS |
Independent price resolution
Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.
Price To Beat · 13:10:00 UTC
13:10:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9722ok
- Coinbase+3.3 bps0.9725ok
- OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9721ok
Settlement · 13:15:00 UTC
13:15:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.9721ok
- Coinbase0.0 bps0.9720ok
- OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.9719ok
Recent resolved markets
The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.
| Window (UTC) | Price to beat | Settlement | Outcome | Base consensus | Meta | Meta result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:05 → 13:10Nov 15 | 0.9698 | 0.9722 | UP | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN52.8% | LOSS |
| 13:00 → 13:05Nov 15 | 0.9676 | 0.9698 | UP | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN54.6% | LOSS |
| 12:55 → 13:00Nov 15 | 0.9690 | 0.9676 | DOWN | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN55.4% | WIN |
| 12:50 → 12:55Nov 15 | 0.9678 | 0.9690 | UP | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN60.1% | LOSS |
| 12:45 → 12:50Nov 15 | 0.9695 | 0.9678 | DOWN | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN54.7% | WIN |
| 12:40 → 12:45Nov 15 | 0.9682 | 0.9695 | UP | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN59.6% | LOSS |
| 12:35 → 12:40Nov 15 | 0.9712 | 0.9682 | DOWN | 6 / 9 UP | UP53.1% | LOSS |
| 12:30 → 12:35Nov 15 | 0.9703 | 0.9712 | UP | 7 / 9 UP | DOWN50.7% | LOSS |
| 12:25 → 12:30Nov 15 | 0.9684 | 0.9703 | UP | 6 / 9 UP | DOWN51.8% | LOSS |
| 12:20 → 12:25Nov 15 | 0.9670 | 0.9684 | UP | 5 / 9 UP | DOWN52.1% | LOSS |
| 12:15 → 12:20Nov 15 | 0.9649 | 0.9670 | UP | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN60.2% | LOSS |
| 12:10 → 12:15Nov 15 | 0.9646 | 0.9649 | UP | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN56.2% | LOSS |
Performance history
Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min
Collecting observations
Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.
Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min
View all →- 1Liquidation Agent53.0%219 mkts
- 2Trend Agent52.1%219 mkts
- 3Whale Flow Agent48.9%219 mkts
- 4Order Flow Agent48.9%219 mkts
- 5Volatility Agent51.1%219 mkts
- 6OI/Funding Agent47.0%219 mkts
About this market
XRP · 5 Minute windows
Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.
Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.
Verification
- Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
- Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
- An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.