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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

14:35 → 14:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:35 → 14:40 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1435

Settled

Nov 15, 14:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9603
Index at 14:35:00

Final index

$0.9576

Settlement price

$0.9576
Index at 14:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.95770.95900.961614:3514:3614:3714:3814:40PTB 0.9603

Settlement $0.9576

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.1%Low
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.2%
248 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 14:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium50.4%248 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium48.4%248 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium47.2%248 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium50.8%248 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low46.8%248 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium48.4%248 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low52.4%248 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low48.4%248 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low49.2%248 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:35:00 UTC

14:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9603ok
  • Coinbase−0.2 bps0.9603ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.9606ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9603

Settlement · 14:40:00 UTC

14:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9576ok
  • Coinbase−0.2 bps0.9576ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps0.9577ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9576

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:30 → 14:35Nov 150.96090.9603DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
14:25 → 14:30Nov 150.96600.9609DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN
14:20 → 14:25Nov 150.96880.9660DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
14:15 → 14:20Nov 150.96620.9688UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.4%LOSS
14:10 → 14:15Nov 150.96400.9662UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
14:05 → 14:10Nov 150.96560.9640DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
14:00 → 14:05Nov 150.96890.9656DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 150.97160.9689DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 150.97130.9716UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.7%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 150.97180.9713DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.97100.9718UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.97380.9710DOWN7 / 9 UPUP50.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.4%248 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent48.4%248 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.2%248 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.4%248 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent46.8%248 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.8%248 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology