Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:45 → 03:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:45 → 03:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0345

Settled

Nov 15, 03:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05905
Index at 03:45:00

Final index

$0.05877

Settlement price

$0.05877
Index at 03:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058780.058880.058980.0590803:4503:4603:4703:4803:50PTB 0.05905

Settlement $0.05877

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN61.8%High
UP 38.2%61.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
25 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 03:45:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium44.0%25 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium44.0%25 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium60.0%25 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium40.0%25 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low40.0%25 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium48.0%25 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.0%25 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low44.0%25 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low40.0%25 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.05904ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05905ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05905ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05905

Settlement · 03:50:00 UTC

03:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05877ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05877ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05876ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05877

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:40 → 03:45Nov 150.058860.05905UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.5%LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 150.058720.05886UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 150.058800.05872DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 150.058930.05880DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 150.059020.05893DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 150.058930.05902UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 150.058850.05893UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.058850.05885FLAT6 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%PUSH
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.058560.05885UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.058460.05856UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.058380.05846UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.058390.05838DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.0%25 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent60.0%25 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent44.0%25 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent48.0%25 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent44.0%25 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent44.0%25 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology