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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

12:55 → 13:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:55 → 13:00 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1255

Settled

Nov 15, 13:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05926
Index at 12:55:00

Final index

$0.05932

Settlement price

$0.05932
Index at 13:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059180.059310.0593812:5512:5612:5712:5813:00PTB 0.05926

Settlement $0.05932

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.2%Low
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.1%
208 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 12:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium47.1%208 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium47.6%208 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Medium50.5%208 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium49.0%208 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low51.4%208 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium45.2%208 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.4%208 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.4%208 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low49.5%208 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:55:00 UTC

12:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.5 bps0.05928ok
  • Coinbase−0.7 bps0.05926ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05926ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05926

Settlement · 13:00:00 UTC

13:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05932ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps0.05933ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05930ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05932

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.059270.05931UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.059250.05927UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.059190.05925UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 150.059120.05919UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 150.059080.05912UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 150.058870.05908UP5 / 9 UPDOWN53.4%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 150.059010.05887DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.059190.05901DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.4%208 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent53.4%208 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.4%208 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%208 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.5%208 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.0%208 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology