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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

12:30 → 12:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:30 → 12:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1230

Settled

Nov 15, 12:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05927
Index at 12:30:00

Final index

$0.05931

Settlement price

$0.05931
Index at 12:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059230.059320.0593612:3012:3112:3212:3312:35PTB 0.05927

Settlement $0.05931

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.8%Low
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.5%
198 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 12:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium45.5%198 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN61.1%
UP 38.9%61.1% DOWN
Medium46.0%198 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium50.5%198 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium49.0%198 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low51.5%198 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium44.4%198 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.5%198 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low53.0%198 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low49.5%198 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:30:00 UTC

12:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.0 bps0.05927ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05927ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05926ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05927

Settlement · 12:35:00 UTC

12:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05931ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.05932ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05929ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05931

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.059250.05927UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.059190.05925UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 150.059120.05919UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 150.059080.05912UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 150.058870.05908UP5 / 9 UPDOWN53.4%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 150.059010.05887DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.059190.05901DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.059220.05919DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.059290.05922DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%LOSS
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.059180.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.059170.05918UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.5%198 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.5%198 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.0%198 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%198 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.5%198 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.0%198 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology