Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

12:40 → 12:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled12:40 → 12:45 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1240

Settled

Nov 15, 12:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05918

Index at 12:40:00

Final index

$0.05918

Settlement price

$0.05918

Index at 12:45:00

Outcome

FLAT

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05918

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH

DOWN53.0%Low

UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 47.5%; 202 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 12:40:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN59.7%	UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN	Medium	46.5%202 markets	trend-doge5-v212:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Momentum Agent	DOWN62.0%	UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN	Medium	47.0%202 markets	momentum-doge5-v212:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Mean Reversion Agent	UP50.9%	UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN	Medium	51.5%202 markets	meanrev-doge5-v212:40:05 UTC	PUSH
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN56.5%	UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN	Medium	50.0%202 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v212:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Order Flow Agent	DOWN51.2%	UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN	Low	51.5%202 markets	orderflow-doge5-v112:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Volatility Agent	DOWN55.6%	UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN	Medium	45.0%202 markets	volatility-doge5-v212:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	53.5%202 markets	liquidation-doge5-v112:40:05 UTC	PUSH
OI/Funding Agent	UP50.3%	UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN	Low	54.0%202 markets	oifunding-doge5-v112:40:05 UTC	PUSH
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.3%	UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN	Low	49.0%202 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v112:40:05 UTC	PUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:40:00 UTC

12:40:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05918ok
Coinbase+0.1 bps0.05918ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05917ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05918

Settlement · 12:45:00 UTC

12:45:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05919ok
Coinbase−0.7 bps0.05918ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05918ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05918

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15	0.05931	0.05918	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.4%	WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15	0.05927	0.05931	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.8%	LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 15	0.05925	0.05927	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.3%	LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15	0.05919	0.05925	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.2%	LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15	0.05912	0.05919	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.3%	LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15	0.05908	0.05912	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.5%	LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15	0.05887	0.05908	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN53.4%	LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15	0.05901	0.05887	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.4%	WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15	0.05919	0.05901	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.5%	WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15	0.05922	0.05919	DOWN	5 / 9 UP	DOWN50.4%	WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15	0.05929	0.05922	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.8%	WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15	0.05932	0.05929	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	UP50.5%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent53.5%202 mkts
2Order Flow Agent51.5%202 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent54.0%202 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent49.0%202 mkts
5Mean Reversion Agent51.5%202 mkts
6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%202 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology