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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

12:45 → 12:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:45 → 12:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1245

Settled

Nov 15, 12:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05918
Index at 12:45:00

Final index

$0.05913

Settlement price

$0.05913
Index at 12:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059130.059160.059190.0592212:4512:4612:4712:4812:50PTB 0.05918

Settlement $0.05913

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.7%Low
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.5%
204 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 12:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium47.1%204 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium47.1%204 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium51.0%204 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%204 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low51.5%204 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium45.6%204 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.4%204 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.9%204 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low49.5%204 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:45:00 UTC

12:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05919ok
  • Coinbase−0.7 bps0.05918ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05918ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05918

Settlement · 12:50:00 UTC

12:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05913ok
  • Coinbase+0.9 bps0.05914ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05913ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05913

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.059270.05931UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.059250.05927UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.059190.05925UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 150.059120.05919UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 150.059080.05912UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 150.058870.05908UP5 / 9 UPDOWN53.4%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 150.059010.05887DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.059190.05901DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.059220.05919DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.059290.05922DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.4%204 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.5%204 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.9%204 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%204 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent51.0%204 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%204 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology