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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:20 → 13:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:20 → 13:25 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1320

Settled

Nov 15, 13:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05941
Index at 13:20:00

Final index

$0.05953

Settlement price

$0.05953
Index at 13:25:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059480.059540.0596013:2013:2113:2213:2313:25PTB 0.05941

Settlement $0.05953

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.0%Low
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.5%
217 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium47.9%217 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium48.4%217 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium50.7%217 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium49.8%217 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low52.1%217 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium46.1%217 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.9%217 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low53.0%217 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low49.3%217 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:20:00 UTC

13:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05941ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.05942ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05940ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05941

Settlement · 13:25:00 UTC

13:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.5 bps0.05955ok
  • Coinbase−5.9 bps0.05950ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05953ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05953

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.059270.05931UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.059250.05927UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.059190.05925UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.9%217 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent53.0%217 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent52.1%217 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.3%217 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.7%217 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.8%217 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology