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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:25 → 13:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:25 → 13:30 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1325

Settled

Nov 15, 13:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05953
Index at 13:25:00

Final index

$0.05948

Settlement price

$0.05948
Index at 13:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059350.059410.0594813:2513:2613:2713:2813:30PTB 0.05953

Settlement $0.05948

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.3%Medium
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.2%
218 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium47.7%218 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium48.2%218 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN63.5%
UP 36.5%63.5% DOWN
Medium50.9%218 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium49.5%218 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low51.8%218 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium45.9%218 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.1%218 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low52.8%218 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low49.5%218 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:25:00 UTC

13:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.5 bps0.05955ok
  • Coinbase−5.9 bps0.05950ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05953ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05953

Settlement · 13:30:00 UTC

13:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05948ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05948ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05946ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05948

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.059270.05931UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.059250.05927UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.1%218 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.8%218 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.8%218 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%218 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.9%218 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.5%218 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology