Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:30 → 13:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:30 → 13:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1330

Settled

Nov 15, 13:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05948
Index at 13:30:00

Final index

$0.05943

Settlement price

$0.05943
Index at 13:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059350.059390.0594413:3013:3113:3213:3313:35PTB 0.05948

Settlement $0.05943

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.3%Medium
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.3%
220 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium47.3%220 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium47.7%220 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium50.9%220 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium49.5%220 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low51.8%220 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium45.9%220 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.1%220 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low52.7%220 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low49.5%220 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:30:00 UTC

13:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05948ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05948ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05946ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05948

Settlement · 13:35:00 UTC

13:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05943ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05943ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.2 bps0.05940ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05943

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.059530.05948DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.059270.05931UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.1%220 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.7%220 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.8%220 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%220 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.9%220 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.5%220 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology