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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:35 → 13:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:35 → 13:40 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1335

Settled

Nov 15, 13:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05943
Index at 13:35:00

Final index

$0.05925

Settlement price

$0.05925
Index at 13:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059260.059310.0593713:3513:3613:3713:3813:40PTB 0.05943

Settlement $0.05925

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.5%Medium
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.8%
222 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium46.8%222 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium47.7%222 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium50.5%222 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium49.1%222 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low51.4%222 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium45.5%222 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.5%222 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low52.3%222 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.0%222 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:35:00 UTC

13:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05943ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05943ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.2 bps0.05940ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05943

Settlement · 13:40:00 UTC

13:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05925ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.05926ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05924ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05925

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.059480.05943DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.059530.05948DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.059310.05918DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.5%222 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.3%222 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.4%222 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%222 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.5%222 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.1%222 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology