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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:40 → 13:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:40 → 13:45 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1340

Settled

Nov 15, 13:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05925
Index at 13:40:00

Final index

$0.05935

Settlement price

$0.05935
Index at 13:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059280.059320.0593513:4013:4113:4213:4313:45PTB 0.05925

Settlement $0.05935

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.5%Low
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
224 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium46.9%224 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium47.8%224 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%224 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium49.1%224 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low51.3%224 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium45.5%224 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.0%224 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low51.8%224 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.4%224 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:40:00 UTC

13:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05925ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.05926ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05924ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05925

Settlement · 13:45:00 UTC

13:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.9 bps0.05936ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05935ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps0.05935ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05935

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.059430.05925DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.059480.05943DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.059530.05948DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.059180.05918FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%PUSH

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.0%224 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent51.8%224 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.4%224 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent51.3%224 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.0%224 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.1%224 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology