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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

13:45 → 13:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:45 → 13:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1345

Settled

Nov 15, 13:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05935
Index at 13:45:00

Final index

$0.05937

Settlement price

$0.05937
Index at 13:50:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059230.059270.059320.0593613:4513:4613:4713:4813:50PTB 0.05935

Settlement $0.05937

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.2%Low
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
226 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 13:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium46.5%226 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium47.8%226 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium49.6%226 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium48.7%226 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low50.9%226 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium45.6%226 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.0%226 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low51.3%226 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.4%226 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:45:00 UTC

13:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.9 bps0.05936ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05935ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps0.05935ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05935

Settlement · 13:50:00 UTC

13:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.2 bps0.05937ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05937ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.3 bps0.05936ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05937

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.059250.05935UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.059430.05925DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.059480.05943DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.059530.05948DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 150.059360.05941UP5 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 150.059320.05936UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 150.059290.05932UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
13:00 → 13:05Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 150.059260.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 150.059130.05926UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.059180.05913DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.0%226 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent51.3%226 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.4%226 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent50.9%226 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent49.6%226 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.7%226 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology