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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

14:35 → 14:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:35 → 14:40 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1435

Settled

Nov 15, 14:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05873
Index at 14:35:00

Final index

$0.05857

Settlement price

$0.05857
Index at 14:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058580.058640.058710.0587714:3514:3614:3714:3814:40PTB 0.05873

Settlement $0.05857

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.1%Low
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
245 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 14:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium46.5%245 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP52.5%
UP 52.5%47.5% DOWN
Medium47.3%245 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP56.9%
UP 56.9%43.1% DOWN
Medium48.6%245 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium48.6%245 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low51.0%245 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium46.5%245 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low53.5%245 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low49.8%245 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low50.6%245 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:35:00 UTC

14:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps0.05873ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05873ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps0.05873ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05873

Settlement · 14:40:00 UTC

14:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05857ok
  • Coinbase+0.6 bps0.05857ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05855ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05857

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:30 → 14:35Nov 150.058660.05873UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%LOSS
14:25 → 14:30Nov 150.059050.05866DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.4%WIN
14:20 → 14:25Nov 150.059160.05905DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.1%WIN
14:15 → 14:20Nov 150.059110.05916UP7 / 9 UPUP50.6%WIN
14:10 → 14:15Nov 150.058950.05911UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
14:05 → 14:10Nov 150.058970.05895DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
14:00 → 14:05Nov 150.059210.05897DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 150.059390.05921DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 150.059370.05939UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 150.059350.05937UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.2%LOSS
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.059250.05935UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.059430.05925DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.5%245 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.6%245 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent49.8%245 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent51.0%245 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.6%245 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.6%245 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology