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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

14:20 → 14:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:20 → 14:25 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1420

Settled

Nov 15, 14:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05916
Index at 14:20:00

Final index

$0.05905

Settlement price

$0.05905
Index at 14:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059050.059090.0591314:2014:2114:2214:2314:25PTB 0.05916

Settlement $0.05905

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.1%Low
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
239 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 14:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium46.4%239 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium46.9%239 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium49.4%239 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium48.5%239 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low51.0%239 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP54.9%
UP 54.9%45.1% DOWN
Medium46.0%239 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.6%239 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.6%239 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Low50.6%239 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:20:00 UTC

14:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05916ok
  • Coinbase+1.1 bps0.05917ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05916ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05916

Settlement · 14:25:00 UTC

14:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05905ok
  • Coinbase+1.1 bps0.05906ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05905ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05905

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:15 → 14:20Nov 150.059110.05916UP7 / 9 UPUP50.6%WIN
14:10 → 14:15Nov 150.058950.05911UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
14:05 → 14:10Nov 150.058970.05895DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
14:00 → 14:05Nov 150.059210.05897DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 150.059390.05921DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 150.059370.05939UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 150.059350.05937UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.2%LOSS
13:40 → 13:45Nov 150.059250.05935UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 150.059430.05925DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 150.059480.05943DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 150.059530.05948DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 150.059410.05953UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.6%239 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.6%239 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.6%239 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent51.0%239 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent49.4%239 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.5%239 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology