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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

04:15 → 04:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live04:15 → 04:30 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0415

Settles in

01:36

Price to beat

$66.171
Index at 04:15:00

Current index

$66.346
+0.175(0.264%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 04:30:00
66.06166.25766.35504:1504:1804:2204:2604:30PTB 66.171
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
UP58.6%Medium
UP 58.6%41.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
42.9%
7 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 04:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentUP52.3%
UP 52.3%47.7% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
Momentum AgentUP64.5%
UP 64.5%35.5% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium57.1%7 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP58.3%
UP 58.3%41.7% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low28.6%7 markets
Volatility AgentUP64.9%
UP 64.9%35.1% DOWN
Medium71.4%7 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low71.4%7 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low28.6%7 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low28.6%7 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:15:00 UTC

04:15:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.171ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.3 bps66.136ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps66.188ok
Median of 3 sources$66.171

Current index

04:28:23 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps66.352ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.346ok
  • Hyperliquid−7.4 bps66.297ok
Median of 3 sources$66.346

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:00 → 04:15Nov 1566.12066.171UP5 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
03:45 → 04:00Nov 1566.19366.120DOWN6 / 9 UPUP54.3%LOSS
03:30 → 03:45Nov 1566.09566.193UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 1566.26066.095DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 1566.09666.260UP5 / 9 DOWNUP51.5%WIN
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1565.97066.096UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1565.79965.970UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent71.4%7 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent71.4%7 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent57.1%7 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent28.6%7 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent28.6%7 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology