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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

04:30 → 04:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live04:30 → 04:45 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0430

Settles in

08:40

Price to beat

$66.362
Index at 04:30:00

Current index

$66.172
−0.190(-0.286%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 04:45:00
66.11066.20366.29666.38904:3004:3304:3704:4104:45PTB 66.362
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN50.8%Low
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
8 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 04:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Medium37.5%8 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low37.5%8 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.9%
UP 54.9%45.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%8 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN63.2%
UP 36.8%63.2% DOWN
Medium37.5%8 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low25.0%8 markets
Volatility AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low75.0%8 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low75.0%8 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low25.0%8 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low37.5%8 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:30:00 UTC

04:30:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.362ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.9 bps66.344ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.9 bps66.381ok
Median of 3 sources$66.362

Current index

04:36:19 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.7 bps66.190ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.172ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.0 bps66.159ok
Median of 3 sources$66.172

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:15 → 04:30Nov 1566.17166.362UP6 / 9 UPUP58.6%WIN
04:00 → 04:15Nov 1566.12066.171UP5 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
03:45 → 04:00Nov 1566.19366.120DOWN6 / 9 UPUP54.3%LOSS
03:30 → 03:45Nov 1566.09566.193UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 1566.26066.095DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 1566.09666.260UP5 / 9 DOWNUP51.5%WIN
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1565.97066.096UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1565.79965.970UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent75.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent75.0%8 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent50.0%8 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent37.5%8 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent50.0%8 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent37.5%8 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology