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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

04:00 → 04:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:00 → 04:15 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0400

Settled

Nov 15, 04:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$593.95
Index at 04:00:00

Final index

$594.68

Settlement price

$594.68
Index at 04:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
592.60593.34594.8104:0004:0304:0704:1104:15PTB 593.95

Settlement $594.68

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.9%Medium
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
28.6%
7 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 04:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Medium42.9%7 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Low42.9%7 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Medium85.7%7 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low71.4%7 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low71.4%7 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low28.6%7 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:00:00 UTC

04:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.95ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.3 bps593.93ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.8 bps594.05ok
Median of 3 sources$593.95

Settlement · 04:15:00 UTC

04:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps594.58ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.68ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps594.70ok
Median of 3 sources$594.68

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:45 → 04:00Nov 15595.35593.95DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.9%WIN
03:30 → 03:45Nov 15594.13595.35UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 15596.05594.13DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 15593.61596.05UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15591.03593.61UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent85.7%7 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent71.4%7 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent71.4%7 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent42.9%7 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent28.6%7 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology