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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

04:15 → 04:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live04:15 → 04:30 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0415

Settles in

01:34

Price to beat

$594.68
Index at 04:15:00

Current index

$595.22
+0.54(0.091%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 04:30:00
593.84594.28595.1704:1504:1804:2204:2604:30PTB 594.68
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN52.0%Low
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
28.6%
7 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 04:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
Momentum AgentUP56.5%
UP 56.5%43.5% DOWN
Medium42.9%7 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium28.6%7 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low42.9%7 markets
Volatility AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium85.7%7 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low71.4%7 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low71.4%7 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low28.6%7 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:15:00 UTC

04:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps594.58ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.68ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps594.70ok
Median of 3 sources$594.68

Current index

04:28:25 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.22ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.3 bps595.14ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.6 bps595.25ok
Median of 3 sources$595.22

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:00 → 04:15Nov 15593.95594.68UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.9%LOSS
03:45 → 04:00Nov 15595.35593.95DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.9%WIN
03:30 → 03:45Nov 15594.13595.35UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 15596.05594.13DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 15593.61596.05UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15591.03593.61UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent85.7%7 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent71.4%7 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent71.4%7 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent42.9%7 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent28.6%7 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology