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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

10:30 → 10:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:30 → 10:35 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-1030

Settled

Nov 15, 10:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.905
Index at 10:30:00

Final index

$67.953

Settlement price

$67.953
Index at 10:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
67.86967.96068.05068.14110:3010:3110:3210:3310:35PTB 67.905

Settlement $67.953

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN66.4%High
UP 33.6%66.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
53.4%
161 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 10:30:09 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium48.4%161 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium58.4%161 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium51.6%161 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium50.9%161 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.3%161 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium50.3%161 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.2%161 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low51.6%161 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low50.9%161 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:30:00 UTC

10:30:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.905ok
  • Hyperliquid−1.4 bps67.896ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.0 bps67.912ok
Median of 3 sources$67.905

Settlement · 10:35:00 UTC

10:35:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.6 bps67.942ok
  • Hyperliquid+1.7 bps67.965ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.953ok
Median of 3 sources$67.953

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:25 → 10:30Nov 1568.01667.905DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 1568.05668.016DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 1568.42568.056DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.2%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 1568.54368.425DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.4%WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 1568.37768.543UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.8%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 1567.75368.377UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.1%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 1567.85967.753DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 1567.81267.859UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.0%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 1568.10267.812DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.3%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 1567.81368.102UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 1567.12367.813UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 1567.37167.123DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.4%161 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.9%161 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.6%161 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent50.3%161 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.9%161 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent53.4%161 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology