Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:35 → 09:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled09:35 → 09:40 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0935

Settled

Nov 15, 09:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.123

Index at 09:35:00

Final index

$67.813

Settlement price

$67.813

Index at 09:40:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $67.813

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN69.1%High

UP 30.9%69.1% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 52.4%; 143 markets
Model version: meta-hype5-v1; published 09:35:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous window Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN60.9%	UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN	Medium	49.7%143 markets	trend-hype5-v209:35:05 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN57.9%	UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN	Medium	58.0%143 markets	momentum-hype5-v209:35:05 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN56.0%	UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN	Medium	51.7%143 markets	meanrev-hype5-v209:35:05 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN53.7%	UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN	Medium	51.0%143 markets	rsidiv-hype5-v209:35:05 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	UP50.1%	UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN	Low	51.0%143 markets	orderflow-hype5-v109:35:05 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	DOWN59.2%	UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN	Medium	49.0%143 markets	volatility-hype5-v209:35:05 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	47.6%143 markets	liquidation-hype5-v109:35:05 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Low	51.0%143 markets	oifunding-hype5-v109:35:05 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.1%	UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN	Low	49.7%143 markets	whaleflow-hype5-v109:35:05 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:35:00 UTC

09:35:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.123ok
Hyperliquid−5.2 bps67.088ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps67.126ok

Median of 3 sources$67.123

Settlement · 09:40:00 UTC

09:40:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD−0.5 bps67.809ok
Hyperliquid0.0 bps67.813ok
OKXUSDT→USD+1.4 bps67.822ok

Median of 3 sources$67.813

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15	67.371	67.123	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.7%	WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15	—	—	VOID	—	Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15	67.014	66.912	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.6%	WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15	67.304	67.014	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.8%	WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15	67.287	67.304	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.4%	LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15	66.864	67.287	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	UP52.7%	WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15	65.951	66.864	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.4%	LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15	65.648	65.951	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.7%	LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15	65.420	65.648	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.9%	LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15	65.510	65.420	DOWN	5 / 9 UP	DOWN50.1%	WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15	65.210	65.510	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.0%	LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15	65.384	65.210	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.2%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →

1Momentum Agent58.0%143 mkts
2Order Flow Agent51.0%143 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent51.0%143 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent49.7%143 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent51.0%143 mkts
6Liquidation Agent47.6%143 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology