Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:15 → 09:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled09:15 → 09:20 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0915

Settled

Nov 15, 09:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.304

Index at 09:15:00

Final index

$67.014

Settlement price

$67.014

Index at 09:20:00

Outcome

DOWN

Immutable record

Settlement $67.014

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN

DOWN63.8%High

UP 36.2%63.8% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 53.3%; 137 markets
Model version: meta-hype5-v1; published 09:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous window Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN68.8%	UP 31.2%68.8% DOWN	High	48.9%137 markets	trend-hype5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Momentum Agent	DOWN58.4%	UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN	Medium	59.1%137 markets	momentum-hype5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN57.9%	UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN	Medium	51.1%137 markets	meanrev-hype5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN57.1%	UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN	Medium	50.4%137 markets	rsidiv-hype5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.3%	UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN	Low	52.6%137 markets	orderflow-hype5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Medium	48.2%137 markets	volatility-hype5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	46.7%137 markets	liquidation-hype5-v109:15:06 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.4%	UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN	Low	48.9%137 markets	oifunding-hype5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.6%	UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN	Low	50.4%137 markets	whaleflow-hype5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.304ok
Hyperliquid+2.3 bps67.320ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.1 bps67.303ok

Median of 3 sources$67.304

Settlement · 09:20:00 UTC

09:20:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD−0.9 bps67.008ok
Hyperliquid+4.2 bps67.042ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.014ok

Median of 3 sources$67.014

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15	67.287	67.304	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.4%	LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15	66.864	67.287	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	UP52.7%	WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15	65.951	66.864	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.4%	LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15	65.648	65.951	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.7%	LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15	65.420	65.648	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.9%	LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15	65.510	65.420	DOWN	5 / 9 UP	DOWN50.1%	WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15	65.210	65.510	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.0%	LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15	65.384	65.210	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.2%	WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15	65.395	65.384	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN59.2%	WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15	65.070	65.395	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN50.4%	LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15	64.691	65.070	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN51.3%	LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15	64.757	64.691	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.7%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →

1Momentum Agent59.1%137 mkts
2Order Flow Agent52.6%137 mkts
3Whale Flow Agent50.4%137 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent48.9%137 mkts
5Meta Agent53.3%137 mkts
6RSI Divergence Agent50.4%137 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology