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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:05 → 09:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:05 → 09:10 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0905

Settled

Nov 15, 09:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.864
Index at 09:05:00

Final index

$67.287

Settlement price

$67.287
Index at 09:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.78366.95867.13267.30709:0509:0609:0709:0809:10PTB 66.864

Settlement $67.287

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP52.7%Medium
UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.9%
133 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 09:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN64.9%
UP 35.1%64.9% DOWN
Medium48.9%133 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP53.7%
UP 53.7%46.3% DOWN
Medium57.9%133 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN67.9%
UP 32.1%67.9% DOWN
High50.4%133 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.0%
UP 43.0%57.0% DOWN
Medium49.6%133 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low52.6%133 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP57.5%
UP 57.5%42.5% DOWN
Medium47.4%133 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.4%133 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low48.1%133 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low49.6%133 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.0 bps66.871ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.6 bps66.860ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.864ok
Median of 3 sources$66.864

Settlement · 09:10:00 UTC

09:10:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−2.1 bps67.273ok
  • Hyperliquid+7.8 bps67.340ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.287ok
Median of 3 sources$67.287

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:00 → 09:05Nov 1565.95166.864UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 1565.64865.951UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 1565.42065.648UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 1565.51065.420DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 1565.21065.510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 1565.38465.210DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 1565.39565.384DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 1565.07065.395UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 1564.69165.070UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 1564.75764.691DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 1564.99964.757DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 1564.96064.999UP8 / 9 DOWNUP50.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent57.9%133 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.6%133 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.6%133 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.1%133 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent47.4%133 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.6%133 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology