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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:00 → 09:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:00 → 09:05 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0900

Settled

Nov 15, 09:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.951
Index at 09:00:00

Final index

$66.864

Settlement price

$66.864
Index at 09:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.19166.50966.82809:0009:0109:0209:0309:05PTB 65.951

Settlement $66.864

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.4%Low
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.5%
132 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 09:00:10 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.9%
UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN
Medium49.2%132 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium57.6%132 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium50.8%132 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN66.6%
UP 33.4%66.6% DOWN
High50.0%132 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low52.3%132 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium47.7%132 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.0%132 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.5%132 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low49.2%132 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.3 bps65.966ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.3 bps65.936ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.951ok
Median of 3 sources$65.951

Settlement · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.0 bps66.871ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.6 bps66.860ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.864ok
Median of 3 sources$66.864

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:55 → 09:00Nov 1565.64865.951UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 1565.42065.648UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 1565.51065.420DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 1565.21065.510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 1565.38465.210DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 1565.39565.384DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 1565.07065.395UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 1564.69165.070UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 1564.75764.691DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 1564.99964.757DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 1564.96064.999UP8 / 9 DOWNUP50.7%WIN
08:00 → 08:05Nov 1564.93664.960UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent57.6%132 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.3%132 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.2%132 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.5%132 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent47.0%132 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%132 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology