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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:50 → 08:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:50 → 08:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0850

Settled

Nov 15, 08:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.420
Index at 08:50:00

Final index

$65.648

Settlement price

$65.648
Index at 08:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.37965.48165.58265.68408:5008:5108:5208:5308:55PTB 65.420

Settlement $65.648

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN65.9%High
UP 34.1%65.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.2%
129 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 08:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.8%
UP 41.2%58.8% DOWN
Medium48.8%129 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium57.4%129 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium50.4%129 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium49.6%129 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low53.5%129 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium48.1%129 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.3%129 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low48.1%129 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low48.8%129 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:50:00 UTC

08:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+5.2 bps65.453ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps65.420ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps65.416ok
Median of 3 sources$65.420

Settlement · 08:55:00 UTC

08:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.2 bps65.656ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.8 bps65.643ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.648ok
Median of 3 sources$65.648

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:45 → 08:50Nov 1565.51065.420DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 1565.21065.510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 1565.38465.210DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 1565.39565.384DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 1565.07065.395UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 1564.69165.070UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 1564.75764.691DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 1564.99964.757DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 1564.96064.999UP8 / 9 DOWNUP50.7%WIN
08:00 → 08:05Nov 1564.93664.960UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 1564.83164.936UP5 / 9 DOWNUP56.0%WIN
07:50 → 07:55Nov 1564.70564.831UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent57.4%129 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.5%129 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent48.8%129 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.1%129 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent47.3%129 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.6%129 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology