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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:10 → 09:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:10 → 09:15 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0910

Settled

Nov 15, 09:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.287
Index at 09:10:00

Final index

$67.304

Settlement price

$67.304
Index at 09:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
67.15267.42167.55509:1009:1109:1209:1309:15PTB 67.287

Settlement $67.304

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN67.4%High
UP 32.6%67.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.6%
135 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 09:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN68.1%
UP 31.9%68.1% DOWN
High48.9%135 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium58.5%135 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN64.6%
UP 35.4%64.6% DOWN
Medium51.1%135 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium50.4%135 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low53.3%135 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium48.1%135 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low46.7%135 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low48.9%135 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low50.4%135 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:10:00 UTC

09:10:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−2.1 bps67.273ok
  • Hyperliquid+7.8 bps67.340ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.287ok
Median of 3 sources$67.287

Settlement · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.304ok
  • Hyperliquid+2.3 bps67.320ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.1 bps67.303ok
Median of 3 sources$67.304

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:05 → 09:10Nov 1566.86467.287UP5 / 9 DOWNUP52.7%WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 1565.95166.864UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 1565.64865.951UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 1565.42065.648UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 1565.51065.420DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 1565.21065.510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 1565.38465.210DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 1565.39565.384DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 1565.07065.395UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 1564.69165.070UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 1564.75764.691DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 1564.99964.757DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.5%135 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.3%135 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.4%135 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.9%135 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.4%135 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent52.6%135 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology