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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:50 → 09:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:50 → 09:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0950

Settled

Nov 15, 09:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.812
Index at 09:50:00

Final index

$67.859

Settlement price

$67.859
Index at 09:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
67.86067.90267.94509:5009:5109:5209:5309:55PTB 67.812

Settlement $67.859

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN72.0%High
UP 28.0%72.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.7%
148 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 09:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN63.9%
UP 36.1%63.9% DOWN
Medium48.6%148 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium58.1%148 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium51.4%148 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium50.7%148 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.7%148 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium48.6%148 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.3%148 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low51.4%148 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low50.0%148 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:50:00 UTC

09:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.1 bps67.804ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps67.812ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps67.823ok
Median of 3 sources$67.812

Settlement · 09:55:00 UTC

09:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.859ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.7 bps67.841ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.6 bps67.863ok
Median of 3 sources$67.859

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:45 → 09:50Nov 1568.10267.812DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.3%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 1567.81368.102UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 1567.12367.813UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 1567.37167.123DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 1567.01466.912DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 1567.30467.014DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 1567.28767.304UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 1566.86467.287UP5 / 9 DOWNUP52.7%WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 1565.95166.864UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 1565.64865.951UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 1565.42065.648UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.1%148 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent50.7%148 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.4%148 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%148 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.7%148 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent52.7%148 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology