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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:45 → 09:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:45 → 09:50 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0945

Settled

Nov 15, 09:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$68.102
Index at 09:45:00

Final index

$67.812

Settlement price

$67.812
Index at 09:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
67.82467.92668.02768.12909:4509:4609:4709:4809:50PTB 68.102

Settlement $67.812

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN62.3%High
UP 37.7%62.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.7%
146 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 09:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN63.9%
UP 36.1%63.9% DOWN
Medium48.6%146 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium58.2%146 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium52.1%146 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium50.7%146 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low51.4%146 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium48.6%146 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.3%146 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.4%146 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.0%146 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:45:00 UTC

09:45:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.5 bps68.098ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps68.102ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps68.106ok
Median of 3 sources$68.102

Settlement · 09:50:00 UTC

09:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.1 bps67.804ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps67.812ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps67.823ok
Median of 3 sources$67.812

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:40 → 09:45Nov 1567.81368.102UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 1567.12367.813UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 1567.37167.123DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 1567.01466.912DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 1567.30467.014DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 1567.28767.304UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 1566.86467.287UP5 / 9 DOWNUP52.7%WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 1565.95166.864UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 1565.64865.951UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 1565.42065.648UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 1565.51065.420DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.2%146 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.4%146 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.4%146 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%146 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.7%146 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent52.7%146 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology