Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

10:00 → 10:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled10:00 → 10:05 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-1000

Settled

Nov 15, 10:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.753

Index at 10:00:00

Final index

$68.377

Settlement price

$68.377

Index at 10:05:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $68.377

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN70.1%High

UP 29.9%70.1% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 52.7%; 150 markets
Model version: meta-hype5-v1; published 10:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN59.0%	UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN	Medium	48.7%150 markets	trend-hype5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN58.3%	UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN	Medium	58.0%150 markets	momentum-hype5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN52.6%	UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN	Medium	51.3%150 markets	meanrev-hype5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN52.7%	UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN	Medium	50.7%150 markets	rsidiv-hype5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Low	51.3%150 markets	orderflow-hype5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN61.2%	UP 38.8%61.2% DOWN	Medium	48.7%150 markets	volatility-hype5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	47.3%150 markets	liquidation-hype5-v110:00:12 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.4%	UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN	Low	51.3%150 markets	oifunding-hype5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.8%	UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN	Low	50.7%150 markets	whaleflow-hype5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:00:00 UTC

10:00:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD−2.5 bps67.736ok
Hyperliquid+1.1 bps67.761ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.753ok

Median of 3 sources$67.753

Settlement · 10:05:00 UTC

10:05:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD−2.5 bps68.360ok
Hyperliquid+2.0 bps68.390ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps68.377ok

Median of 3 sources$68.377

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15	67.859	67.753	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.1%	WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15	67.812	67.859	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN72.0%	LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15	68.102	67.812	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.3%	WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15	67.813	68.102	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.8%	LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 15	67.123	67.813	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.1%	LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15	67.371	67.123	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.7%	WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15	—	—	VOID	—	Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15	67.014	66.912	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.6%	WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15	67.304	67.014	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.8%	WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15	67.287	67.304	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.4%	LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15	66.864	67.287	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	UP52.7%	WIN
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15	65.951	66.864	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.4%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →

1Momentum Agent58.0%150 mkts
2Order Flow Agent51.3%150 mkts
3Whale Flow Agent50.7%150 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent51.3%150 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent50.7%150 mkts
6Meta Agent52.7%150 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology