Market record
Market recordSOL Up or Down · 15 Min
Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0400
Opens in
01:53Price to beat
Current index
Settlement price
Outcome
Publishes when the window opens.
Base consensus
Publishes when the window opens.
Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.
Agent predictions
Nine specialists, frozen at 04:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.
| Agent | Prediction | UP / DOWN | Confidence | Hist. accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Momentum Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Mean Reversion Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| RSI Divergence Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Order Flow Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Volatility Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Liquidation Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| OI/Funding Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
| Whale Flow Agent | Publishes when the window opens. | ||||
Independent price resolution
Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.
Price To Beat · 04:00:00 UTC
Fixed when the window opens.
Current index
Available when the window opens.
Recent resolved markets
The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.
| Window (UTC) | Price to beat | Settlement | Outcome | Base consensus | Meta | Meta result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 → 03:45Nov 15 | 71.38 | 71.74 | UP | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN59.1% | LOSS |
| 03:15 → 03:30Nov 15 | 71.74 | 71.38 | DOWN | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN62.4% | WIN |
| 03:00 → 03:15Nov 15 | 71.30 | 71.74 | UP | 6 / 9 UP | UP50.4% | WIN |
| 02:45 → 03:00Nov 15 | 71.09 | 71.30 | UP | 5 / 9 DOWN | DOWN51.4% | LOSS |
| 02:30 → 02:45Nov 15 | 70.58 | 71.09 | UP | 6 / 9 UP | DOWN53.5% | LOSS |
Performance history
Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min
Collecting observations
Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.
Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min
View all →- 1Mean Reversion Agent80.0%5 mkts
- 2Momentum Agent80.0%5 mkts
- 3Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
- 4Order Flow Agent80.0%5 mkts
- 5OI/Funding Agent80.0%5 mkts
- 6Whale Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
About this market
Solana · 15 Minute windows
Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.
Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.
Verification
- Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
- Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
- An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.