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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

10:50 → 10:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:50 → 10:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-1050

Settled

Nov 15, 10:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$67.898
Index at 10:50:00

Final index

$67.917

Settlement price

$67.917
Index at 10:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
67.83167.86267.92410:5010:5110:5210:5310:55PTB 67.898

Settlement $67.917

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN68.0%High
UP 32.0%68.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
53.0%
168 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 10:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium48.2%168 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium57.7%168 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium50.6%168 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium51.2%168 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low50.0%168 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN60.4%
UP 39.6%60.4% DOWN
Medium49.4%168 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.0%168 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.8%168 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low50.0%168 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:50:00 UTC

10:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.2 bps67.906ok
  • Hyperliquid−1.8 bps67.886ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps67.898ok
Median of 3 sources$67.898

Settlement · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.2 bps67.915ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps67.917ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.5 bps67.926ok
Median of 3 sources$67.917

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:45 → 10:50Nov 1568.10667.898DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 1568.05768.106UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.0%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 1567.95368.057UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.5%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 1567.90567.953UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.4%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 1568.01667.905DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 1568.05668.016DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.0%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 1568.42568.056DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.2%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 1568.54368.425DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.4%WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 1568.37768.543UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.8%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 1567.75368.377UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.1%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 1567.85967.753DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 1567.81267.859UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent57.7%168 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent51.8%168 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent50.0%168 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent51.2%168 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent50.0%168 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent50.6%168 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology